Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion
Gold retreated on Thursday, following a sharp rise in the last session, as investors squared positions to focus on whether Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signals a change in monetary strategy. Spot gold was last seen trading down 0.8 per cent at $1,938.32 per ounce, after rising 1.3 per cent on Wednesday. US gold futures eased 0.3 per cent to $1,946.70 per ounce.
“It was a pretty significant rally overnight on pretty limited news. The thinner Asian trading session has seen punters pull profits,” said IG Markets analyst Kyle Rodda.
“Gold bulls will be hoping, in a way, that the stars align a bit: that Powell outlines the Fed’s pivot to inflation targeting, and expresses an openness to keep long term rates low, ideally through a new yield-curve control program.”
Mr Powell is set to address the Fed’s annual central bankers’ conference at 1310 GMT (6:40 pm in India), with investors looking for cues on inflation and monetary strategy.
The US central bank has slashed interest rates to near zero and rolled out unprecedented stimulus to revive the coronavirus-hit economy, contributing to gold’s over 27 per cent climb so far this year.
Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
“Gold should find willing buyers on dips to $1,935 an ounce. Overall, we expect gold to trade in a choppy $1,935-$1,970 range ahead of Powell’s speech,” said Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst at OANDA.
The dollar index touched a near one-week low, while caution crept into global equities markets on fears of fresh U.S.-China tensions after Washington blacklisted 24 Chinese companies and Beijing reportedly test fired missiles into the South China Sea.
Elsewhere, silver dropped 1.5% to $27.12 per ounce. and palladium dipped by 1.1% to $2,172.93 and platinum fell 0.2% to $926.59.
